The S&P 500 slumped on Tuesday to kick off the first trading day of a holiday-shortened week, weighed down by a jump in crude oil prices..
The S&P 500 slumped on Tuesday to kick off the first
trading day of a holiday-shortened week, weighed down by a jump in crude oil
prices.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost 110 points, or
0.3%. The S&P 500
dipped about 0.3%,
while the Nasdaq Composite
hovered near the
flatline.
Oil prices rose after Saudi Arabia extended its
1-million-barrels per day voluntary oil production cuts. West Texas
Intermediate futures popped 2% to trade above $87 per barrel, reaching their
highest levels since November.
The news lifted energy stocks, with the S&P 500 sector
last up about 1%. Shares of Halliburton
, Occidental Petroleum
and EOG Resources
each added about 3%.
The uptick in oil pressured airline and cruise stocks, with American Airlines
, United Airlines
, Delta Air Lines
and Carnival
down more than 2%
each during afternoon trading.
Treasury yields also popped, straining risk assets. The
yield on the 10-year Treasury surged more than 8 basis points to 4.258%.
“If you have oil prices moving up that could be
inflationary,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist
Advisory Services. “That just makes the Fed’s job harder. There’s already a
fine line between the Fed landing the soft landing that people are hoping for”
and an economic slowdown.
Another hard-hit area included small-and midcap stocks,
with the S&P Small Cap 600 down 2.7%. The S&P Midcap 400 sank 1.9% and
the Russell 2000′s slumped 1.8%.
Recession odds falling?
Over the extended holiday weekend, Goldman Sachs cut its
recession odds to 15% and said it anticipates the Federal Reserve skipping a
rate hike at its policy meeting later this month.
While this could be seen as good news for the market,
investors have to contend with seasonal effect in September, historically the
weakest month for equities.
To be sure, some technical indicators have given investors
hope in recent days. In a sign of positive short-term momentum, the major
indexes broke above their respective 50-day moving averages last week.
Meanwhile, the Dow and the Nasdaq are coming off their best
weekly performances since July, while the S&P 500 registered its best week
since June.
“While history may not repeat, bullish momentum this year
suggests September may not be as bad as the headlines suggest,” said Adam
Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial.